Statistics Profile

Ben Ryan

2002

The Ohio State University Fencing Club Hudson Centers For The Martial Arts

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1229	613 - 1844	1113	1229
Épée	Direct elimination	1601	488 - 2713	1601	1823
Foil	Pool	1311	1000 - 1621	1305	1841
Foil	Direct elimination	916	251 - 1580	916	2339

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.