Statistics Profile

William Glenn

2013

Chesapeake Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1182	748 - 1615	1103	1182
Épée	Direct elimination	1391	438 - 2343	1391	1663
Foil	Pool	1061	758 - 1363	1061	3551
Foil	Direct elimination	1843	1339 - 2346	1843	3393

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.