Statistics Profile

Jakob Palfi

2004

Western Reserve Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2537	1847 - 3226	2537	2579
Épée	Direct elimination	2632	1810 - 3453	2632	2657
Foil	Pool	1748	1277 - 2218	1748	1837
Foil	Direct elimination	2361	1571 - 3150	2361	2475
Saber	Pool	2710	1507 - 3912	2710	2710
Saber	Direct elimination	3069	1687 - 4450	3069	3069

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.