Statistics Profile

Noah Gistover

1998

University of Minnesota Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2790	1942 - 3637	2505	2790
Épée	Direct elimination	2517	1359 - 3674	2517	2517
Foil	Pool	1553	1047 - 2058	1553	1553
Foil	Direct elimination	1981	1171 - 2790	1981	2112
Saber	Pool	1244	461 - 2026	1244	1244

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.