Statistics Profile

Rachel Manimtim

2009

Elite Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	959	666 - 1251	802	1187
Foil	Direct elimination	1048	367 - 1728	1048	1896
Saber	Pool	1382	679 - 2084	1382	1382
Saber	Direct elimination	1905	586 - 3223	1905	1905

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.