Statistics Profile

Dean Hoffman

2011

Morris Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	591	140 - 1041	591	1054
Épée	Direct elimination	1635	849 - 2420	1635	1975
Foil	Pool	151	0 - 673	151	516
Foil	Direct elimination	1017	128 - 1905	1017	1466
Saber	Pool	914	385 - 1442	914	1115
Saber	Direct elimination	1651	510 - 2791	1651	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.