Statistics Profile

William Joseph

2003

Charlotte Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2662	2496 - 2827	2195	3085
Épée	Direct elimination	2754	2570 - 2937	1710	2798
Foil	Pool	2147	1344 - 2949	2147	2249
Foil	Direct elimination	2415	1522 - 3307	2415	2415
Saber	Pool	2221	1352 - 3089	2142	2221
Saber	Direct elimination	1849	765 - 2932	1638	1849

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.