Statistics Profile

Sophia Chen

2008

Fencing Institute Of Texas

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1003	788 - 1217	743	1269
Épée	Direct elimination	1091	725 - 1456	976	1485
Foil	Pool	1182	566 - 1797	1182	1182
Foil	Direct elimination	1575	357 - 2792	1575	1575

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.