Statistics Profile

Tim Myers

1952

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1321	422 - 2219	1321	1321
Épée	Direct elimination	2058	739 - 3376	2058	2058
Saber	Pool	1301	245 - 2356	1301	1301
Saber	Direct elimination	1667	374 - 2959	1667	1667

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.