Statistics Profile

Isaac Spitzer

2007

Orion Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1383	446 - 2319	1383	1383
Épée	Direct elimination	1900	904 - 2895	1900	1900
Foil	Pool	1066	717 - 1414	980	1404
Foil	Direct elimination	942	223 - 1660	942	1977
Saber	Pool	1547	1042 - 2051	1547	2599
Saber	Direct elimination	2138	1332 - 2943	2138	2639

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.