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(1) Jason Liu and (2) Abdel Salem on May 13th!

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Statistics Profile

Josh Liu

Verified
2010
South Denver Fencing Academy

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 1861 1691 - 2030 1619 2025
Épée Direct elimination 2261 2075 - 2446 1966 2409
Foil Pool 1785 1600 - 1969 1487 2235
Foil Direct elimination 1785 1507 - 2062 1645 2921

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.