Statistics Profile

daniel jittan

2005

Orlando Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2495	1911 - 3078	2495	2814
Épée	Direct elimination	3064	2459 - 3668	3006	3064
Foil	Pool	2697	2506 - 2887	2475	3118
Foil	Direct elimination	2918	2730 - 3105	2678	3199
Saber	Pool	1805	963 - 2646	1805	1805

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.