Statistics Profile

Jan Vincent Manlapaz

1998

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1100	309 - 1890	1100	1100
Épée	Direct elimination	1634	436 - 2831	1634	1634
Foil	Pool	801	569 - 1032	687	1285
Foil	Direct elimination	725	249 - 1200	725	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.