Statistics Profile

Yonah OMalley

2012

Boston Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	399	0 - 968	399	615
Épée	Direct elimination	1642	470 - 2813	1642	2079
Foil	Pool	809	216 - 1401	809	809
Foil	Direct elimination	1552	400 - 2703	1552	1552
Saber	Pool	1587	922 - 2251	1587	2430
Saber	Direct elimination	2380	1549 - 3210	2079	3064

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.