Statistics Profile

Brian Beretich

2009

Portland Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1346	455 - 2236	1346	1346
Épée	Direct elimination	1546	379 - 2712	1546	1546
Foil	Pool	1413	1241 - 1584	728	1465
Foil	Direct elimination	1568	1371 - 1764	1133	1670

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.