Statistics Profile

Madison Moy

2009

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2227	1738 - 2715	2128	2777
Épée	Direct elimination	2294	1414 - 3173	2205	2385
Foil	Pool	1322	970 - 1673	891	1524
Foil	Direct elimination	1478	630 - 2325	1408	1823

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.