Statistics Profile

Sabrina Wang

2009

Worcester Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1843	1536 - 2149	1823	1963
Épée	Direct elimination	1985	1444 - 2525	1981	2235
Foil	Pool	2104	1930 - 2277	1356	2143
Foil	Direct elimination	2067	1885 - 2248	1869	2345

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.