Statistics Profile

Kedwin Chen

1999

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1843	1080 - 2605	1843	1843
Épée	Direct elimination	1520	359 - 2680	1520	1520
Foil	Pool	503	0 - 1083	503	925
Foil	Direct elimination	1418	451 - 2384	1418	1976

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.