Statistics Profile

Roebling Tai

2007

Queens Fencing Club LLC

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1140	819 - 1460	1069	2070
Foil	Direct elimination	1799	1235 - 2362	1799	2383
Saber	Pool	967	590 - 1343	555	1368
Saber	Direct elimination	1254	437 - 2070	1254	1753

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.