Statistics Profile

Matthew Kuczajda

2004

Tri-Weapon Fencing Club Salle Palasz

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2453	2272 - 2633	2440	2771
Épée	Direct elimination	2433	2129 - 2736	2083	2871
Saber	Pool	1683	1255 - 2110	1683	2183
Saber	Direct elimination	1948	1177 - 2718	1948	2330

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.