Statistics Profile

Wyatt Elliott

2004

Fencing Club at Auburn University Birmingham Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2591	2388 - 2793	1751	2616
Épée	Direct elimination	2706	2514 - 2897	1632	2751
Foil	Pool	2212	1339 - 3084	2212	2212
Foil	Direct elimination	2071	1051 - 3090	2071	2071

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.