Statistics Profile

Jingyun Chen

2005

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2137	1969 - 2304	2061	2397
Épée	Direct elimination	2310	2078 - 2541	2157	2704
Foil	Pool	1331	635 - 2026	1331	1331
Foil	Direct elimination	1887	643 - 3130	1887	1887

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.