Statistics Profile

Tristan Yao

2012

True Focus Sports Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1744	1578 - 1909	805	1788
Épée	Direct elimination	2053	1888 - 2217	1078	2053
Foil	Pool	1055	261 - 1848	1055	1055
Foil	Direct elimination	1783	531 - 3034	1783	1783

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.