Statistics Profile

Clara Richard

2007

Moe Fencing Club LLC

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1576	917 - 2234	1576	1576
Épée	Direct elimination	1561	394 - 2727	1561	1561
Foil	Pool	1960	1776 - 2143	1576	1978
Foil	Direct elimination	1959	1663 - 2254	1722	2648

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.