Statistics Profile

Michael Springer

Verified
1974
LEO Fencing Club

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 2404 2234 - 2573 1491 2524
Épée Direct elimination 2685 2509 - 2860 1537 2749
Foil Pool 1528 1271 - 1784 1348 1652
Foil Direct elimination 1828 1360 - 2295 1616 2125
Saber Pool 1773 1438 - 2107 1630 1843
Saber Direct elimination 1787 1166 - 2407 1466 2045

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.