Statistics Profile

Zayd Rahman

2010

Fresno Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1433	1264 - 1601	988	1487
Épée	Direct elimination	1738	1549 - 1926	1132	1887
Foil	Pool	1098	677 - 1518	893	1137
Foil	Direct elimination	1379	477 - 2280	1379	2200

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.