Statistics Profile

Parker Christensen

2005

Wasatch Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2376	2208 - 2543	1363	2413
Épée	Direct elimination	2590	2390 - 2789	1356	2629
Foil	Pool	1645	1320 - 1969	1039	1645
Foil	Direct elimination	2226	1779 - 2672	1730	2271
Saber	Pool	1993	942 - 3043	1993	1993
Saber	Direct elimination	1542	294 - 2789	1542	1542

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.