Statistics Profile

Michael Dalva

2005

LA International Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2020	1822 - 2217	1779	2217
Épée	Direct elimination	2210	1847 - 2572	1810	3086
Foil	Pool	1686	1489 - 1882	1073	1686
Foil	Direct elimination	1703	1372 - 2033	1663	1914

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.