Statistics Profile

Liam Wang

2012

DC Fencers Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	855	636 - 1073	708	1256
Épée	Direct elimination	1200	811 - 1588	1175	1757
Saber	Pool	971	369 - 1572	971	1374
Saber	Direct elimination	1725	492 - 2957	1725	1917

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.