Statistics Profile

Michael Kim

2003

University of Southern California Trojan Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1685	1270 - 2099	1685	2156
Épée	Direct elimination	1857	1008 - 2705	1844	2129

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.