Statistics Profile

Nicole Jiang

2009

Baker County Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1628	1445 - 1810	1307	3156
Foil	Direct elimination	1928	1638 - 2217	1847	2738
Saber	Pool	1133	677 - 1588	1133	1263
Saber	Direct elimination	1756	852 - 2659	1699	1756

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.