Statistics Profile

Van Seal

2013

Valkyrie Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1230	825 - 1634	1230	3428
Foil	Direct elimination	1418	748 - 2087	1418	3099
Saber	Pool	785	401 - 1168	785	2103
Saber	Direct elimination	1244	331 - 2156	1244	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.