Statistics Profile

Carson Jr Ling

2009

West Coast Fencing Academy Orange County Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1914	1745 - 2082	1602	2407
Foil	Direct elimination	1911	1722 - 2099	1728	2271
Saber	Pool	1339	1158 - 1519	985	1427
Saber	Direct elimination	1283	929 - 1636	1217	1582

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.