Statistics Profile

Byron (Trey) Harold, III (Trey)

2011

East Bay Fencers Gym

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1103	637 - 1568	1064	1175
Épée	Direct elimination	1883	1095 - 2670	1883	2359
Foil	Pool	1265	922 - 1607	1265	1590
Foil	Direct elimination	1788	1184 - 2391	1787	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.