Statistics Profile

Marcus Lim

2010

South Denver Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	836	629 - 1042	760	1013
Épée	Direct elimination	1105	734 - 1475	1105	1536
Foil	Pool	871	678 - 1063	862	1706
Foil	Direct elimination	658	159 - 1156	616	1543

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.