Statistics Profile

Katherine Poole

2008

Blue Ridge Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1571	1065 - 2076	1439	1571
Épée	Direct elimination	1312	314 - 2309	1312	2079
Foil	Pool	1346	1048 - 1643	790	1391
Foil	Direct elimination	1284	549 - 2018	1284	2195

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.