Statistics Profile

Scott Poehlmann

1962

Metro Tacoma Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1378	964 - 1791	1378	1415
Épée	Direct elimination	1163	135 - 2190	1163	1234
Foil	Pool	1201	864 - 1537	866	1506
Foil	Direct elimination	1784	1162 - 2405	1716	2229
Saber	Pool	1171	733 - 1608	1047	1447
Saber	Direct elimination	1179	187 - 2170	1179	1626

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.