Statistics Profile

Sophia Wang

2009

Epic Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1427	901 - 1952	1335	1427
Épée	Direct elimination	1387	401 - 2372	1387	1785
Foil	Pool	2007	1833 - 2180	1512	2503
Foil	Direct elimination	2163	1992 - 2333	1847	2474

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.