Statistics Profile

Madelyn Zamelis

2005

New York University NCAA

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1749	1322 - 2175	1452	1891
Épée	Direct elimination	1604	566 - 2641	1604	2054
Foil	Pool	1760	1574 - 1945	1356	1816
Foil	Direct elimination	1883	1558 - 2207	1343	2175
Saber	Pool	980	100 - 1859	980	2150
Saber	Direct elimination	1993	868 - 3117	1993	1993

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.