Statistics Profile

Alex Zhou

2011

Epic Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2731	1303 - 4158	2731	2731
Épée	Direct elimination	1790	572 - 3007	1790	1790
Foil	Pool	1286	1117 - 1454	1101	1431
Foil	Direct elimination	1588	1380 - 1795	1199	2131

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.