Statistics Profile

Andres Emiliani

2005

Doral Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1220	343 - 2096	1220	1220
Foil	Direct elimination	1766	544 - 2987	1766	1766
Saber	Pool	1594	1191 - 1996	1095	1730
Saber	Direct elimination	1290	422 - 2157	1290	1856

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.