Statistics Profile

Ellise Lee

2006

Team Touche Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1278	395 - 2160	1278	1278
Épée	Direct elimination	1987	704 - 3269	1987	1987
Foil	Pool	1488	1049 - 1926	1488	2065
Foil	Direct elimination	1700	825 - 2574	1700	2180

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.