Statistics Profile

Lucas Woo

2010

Beverly Hills Fencers' Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1566	1401 - 1730	915	1575
Épée	Direct elimination	1798	1603 - 1992	1406	1992
Foil	Pool	1147	768 - 1525	1147	2046
Foil	Direct elimination	1743	1137 - 2348	1743	2160
Saber	Pool	1067	329 - 1804	1067	1067
Saber	Direct elimination	1785	759 - 2810	1785	1785

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.