Statistics Profile

Benjamin Celjo

2004

Phoenix Falcons Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1754	1378 - 2129	1754	1754
Épée	Direct elimination	1540	819 - 2260	1540	1540
Foil	Pool	1692	1315 - 2068	1271	1692
Foil	Direct elimination	1612	929 - 2294	1584	1929

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.