Statistics Profile

Cole Pergerson

1999

The Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1813	1304 - 2321	1745	1813
Épée	Direct elimination	1965	1207 - 2722	1930	1965
Foil	Pool	1491	1010 - 1971	1491	2227
Foil	Direct elimination	1850	1229 - 2470	1758	1896

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.