Statistics Profile

Rowan Walmsley

2004

Worcester Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1408	1183 - 1632	1186	1499
Épée	Direct elimination	1909	1568 - 2249	1598	2035
Foil	Pool	1153	974 - 1331	776	1258
Foil	Direct elimination	840	482 - 1197	786	1483

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.