Statistics Profile

Tordel Simpson

2009

Miami Lakes Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1999	1462 - 2535	1999	2171
Épée	Direct elimination	2774	1928 - 3619	2148	2774
Foil	Pool	1000	238 - 1761	1000	1000
Foil	Direct elimination	2202	992 - 3411	2202	2202

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.