Statistics Profile

Evelyn Curtin

2012

Marx Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	678	478 - 877	652	971
Épée	Direct elimination	1080	692 - 1467	1080	1643
Foil	Pool	1044	330 - 1757	1044	2443
Foil	Direct elimination	1702	396 - 3007	1702	1702

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.