Statistics Profile

Kurt Miller

2002

Drew University NCAA

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1789	1583 - 1994	1517	1795
Épée	Direct elimination	1768	1342 - 2193	1678	2085
Foil	Pool	1290	510 - 2069	1290	1290
Foil	Direct elimination	1918	660 - 3175	1918	1918

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.