Statistics Profile

Corey Zhao

2007

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2533	2358 - 2707	1490	2802
Épée	Direct elimination	2828	2657 - 2998	1845	3024
Foil	Pool	1638	894 - 2381	1638	1638
Foil	Direct elimination	1900	652 - 3147	1900	1900

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.